Cabo San Lucas Weather in October

October remains high-risk, though noticeably calmer than September, the historical data shows 8 storm days recorded since 1985, a real drop but still elevated compared to the rest of the year.

Highs stay warm at 87°F with humidity easing to 69%, and rain drops back to 2.8 days on average as the season starts its turn toward the dry winter ahead.

The sea remains warm at 85.4°F, and October is a genuinely good month once you get past the storm-risk consideration, with pleasant conditions on the calmer stretches between systems.

This is the month of the Bisbee's Black & Blue Marlin Tournament, one of the richest and most famous sportfishing tournaments in the world, drawing serious anglers and a lively marina scene to Cabo San Lucas specifically, a genuine, dates-specific reason some travelers book October despite the storm risk.

Pricing and crowds stay relatively low through most of October, similar to September, tracking the still-elevated perceived hurricane risk even as actual activity eases from the peak.

Flexible booking terms and storm-inclusive travel insurance remain genuinely worth having for an October trip, given how much higher the historical storm-day count is here than in the November-through-May stretch.

Marlin and dorado fishing are excellent through October, benefiting from the same warm water that makes the Bisbee's tournament such a major annual draw.

By late October, conditions typically start calming noticeably as the season winds toward its close, making the back half of the month a somewhat better bet than the front half for travelers wanting to minimize risk while still catching the lower prices.

Pack for warm days, the possibility of rain, and, if you're here for the tournament, plan marina-area accommodations well ahead, since Bisbee's week fills up fast.